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A comparison of national network and national magazine adver¬ tising is particularly interesting. It will be noted that national net¬ work advertising of gasolines, oils and automobile accessories is equal to 55% of the volume of national magazine advertising; and in the case of drugs, the proportion is 28%, cosmetics 38.2%, food¬
stuffs 35%, beverages 63%, confectioneries 96.2%, radios 62.9%, and tobacco 62%. This gives some indication of the relative use of the two media by various industries in their national advertising.
A breakdown of national magazine advertising for the first nine months of 1933 by types of advertisers is found in Table XIII.
TABLE XIII
NATIONAL MAGAZINE ADVERTISING VOLUME BY TYPE OF SPONSORING BUSINESS1
1933
Gross Receipts for Month
Cumulative
Type of Advertising Business
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
April
May
June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Jan. -Sept.
1-2. Automobiles and accessories:
(1) Automobiles .
$870,627
$666,849
$691,705
$530,420
$348,492
$373,606
$408,317
$355,397
$573,567
$4,818,980
(2) Accessories, gasoline and oil .
335,731
313,837
501,225
667.549
623,336
602,063
672,630
610,255
550,591
4,877,217
3. Clothing and apparel .
85,507
182,811
330,474
430,708
436,178
301,772
177,571
66,456
369,954
2,381,431
4—5. Drugs and toilet goods:
(4) Drugs and pharmaceuticals .
658,333
1,060,370
990,206
740.723
671,873
607.176
521,693
430,043
565,833
6,246,250
(5) Toilet goods .
588,057
1,348,068
1,483,960
1,583,233
1,269,237
1,029,392
971,681
878,772
1,137,340
10,289,740
6—8. Food products:
(6) Foodstuffs .
1,012,486
1,530,882
1,480,794
1,614,823
1.456,405
1,062,876
1,038,657
846,938
1,017,204
11,061,065
(7) Beverages .
190,181
389,313
426,573
508,550
461,246
406,904
435,198
355,629
478,506
3,652,100
(8) Confectionery .
38,740
60,449
66,241
61,757
56,363
49,270
32,991
51,392
69,257
486,460
9-10. Household goods:
(9) Household equipment and furniture
150,292
424,900
465,378
598,130
635,599
365,664
162,714
117,622
387,688
3,307,987
(10) Soap and kitchen supplies .
326,788
643,861
754,695
806,013
801,551
707,253
520,657
458,730
595,870
5,615,418
11. Insurance and financial .
218,406
208,136
220,462
206,827
225,892
211,073
202,773
175,041
238,485
1,907,095
12. Radios .
87,118
64,761
70,395
51,956
52,012
55,675
85,180
81,152
101,454
649,703
13. Retail establishments .
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
14. Tobacco products .
336.001
423,131
401,868
446,476
388,573
386,683
376,557
354,784
432,474
3,546,547
15. Miscellaneous .
1,028,894
1,252,491
1,455,731
1,613,426
1,604,299
1,329,073
967,311
813,245
1,465,424
11,529,894
Total .
$5,927,161
$8,569,859 $9,339,707
$9,860,591
$9,031,056
$7,488,480
$6,573,930
$5,595,456 $7,983,647
$70,369,897
1 108 national magazines.
GENERAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS
The general business situation is relatively unchanged since the publication of the last report. There have been further business recessions from the peak of last July. Since September 30 the New York Times Index of Business Activity declined from 78.4 to 76.6 as of October 28th. The Index was 79.8 on September 9th. The Combined Price Index of the Department of Labor dropped from 71.1 on September 30th to 70.4 as of the end of October. During the same period, the Food Price Index declined from 64.9 to 63.4, while farm products dropped from 58.0 to 54.2. Car loadings moved contrary to the usual seasonal upswing, declining from 69.0 to 67.8 as of October 21st.
There was a marked decline in automobile production during the month, the Index standing at 33.1 on October 28 as against 57.5 at the end of September. Steel ingot production declined from 50.0 to 40.8 during the same period. There has been a general improve¬ ment in retail trade during the month, though figures are not as yet available from which to judge the full effect of this movement.
In spite of the recessions noted above, all of the business indices tend to be appreciably above those of the same period of 1932.
Probably the best explanation of the present situation is to be found in the following quotation from the Ocober issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin:
“For the past two months there has been a reaction in indus¬ try from the exceptionally rapid expansion of activity during
the spring and early summer months. Notwithstanding this reaction, business was in considerably larger volume in August and September than in March.
“At the time of the banking holiday industrial activity was close to the lowest level of the depression. Almost immediately after the reopening of the banks there was an increase in activity. The increase was accelerated by the prospects of increased costs and price advances as a result of processing taxes and code provisions and also by anticipation of inflation. In particular, industries making semifinished, storable goods were influenced by these prospects; some industries, notably textiles and shoes, advanced production rates in the early sum¬ mer to the highest levels on record.
“The decline in industrial activity during the past two months has come, in large measure, in the industries in which expansion previously had been most rapid.”
At the present time, two basic problems loom most important as determinants of future business recovery. The first of these is the necessity of materially increasing mass purchasing power and at the same time the seeming necessity of raising prices to levels which will enable the payment of dividends and interest upon the more reasonable pre-depression capital structures. The second problem is that of absorbing excessive plant capacity in the basic industries without having such absorption resulting in a too great drag upon reemployment. The reconciliation of these factors is the real task facing business and government at the present time.
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