[N.B.C trade releases]. (1964)

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2 Poll Our NBC News-Roper survey has tried to chart the strengths of both candidates - with these fascinating results: President Johnson shows extraordinary strength among minority groups — more so than Franklin Roosevelt in his prime or John F. Kennedy just four years ago. Negro voters , for example, 97 per cent for Johnson. Never before, in the history of the Roper Poll has any definable group swung so completely behind one candidate. Other groups in the population are less unanimous but overwhelmingly for the President: Jewish voters, to cite another example, 86 per cent; Catholics, 73 per cent; union members, j6 per cent; young voters (aged 21 to 34) choose Johnson by 70 per cent; women, 68 per cent. The strongest pro-Goldwater groups are these: supporters of George Wallace, Alabama’s segregationist Governor, 64 per cent for Goldwater. Voters of 55 and older, 30 per cent. Protestants, again 30 per cent. Both slightly better than Goldwater1 s national percentage of 28. Let’s have a closer look now at what happened to the Wallace vote — after the Governor withdrew from the Presidential race. The NBC News-Roper survey discovered that only in the deep South states — Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and Florida is the Wallace sentiment large enough — and the Johnson-Goldwater race close enough — for the Wallace vote to be decisive. The chart suggests that if there were a three-way race in the Deep South, President Johnson would get more votes than either Goldwater or Wallace — but would fall short of a majority. (more )